Mortgage Rates Recover After Starting Higher

After posting a decent recovery from 9-month highs yesterday, it looked like mortgage rates were destined to bounce back toward slightly higher levels today. In fact, when lenders released their initial rates this morning, the average 30yr fixed rate was indeed moderately higher.

But shortly after 1pm ET, news broke regarding additional progress in the Iran war peace process. Much like many similar headlines of late, this one could easily unravel in the coming hours, but the bond market responded positively enough to erase the day's losses.

In general, when bonds are gaining, rates move lower. Today's intraday gains allowed lenders to "re-price" to lower rates. The average lender was just slightly lower than yesterday's latest levels as of 3pm ET.

On the plus side, lower is lower, and that's a victory for today. On the other hand, rates are still very close to long-term highs in the bigger picture. Additionally, and to reiterate a point above, we've seen these sorts of news stories come and go with markets ultimately erasing the initial move after the next set of headlines push the narrative back in the other direction.

Bottom line: this was a decent intraday gift, but we're not viewing it as a definitive pivot point in rate trends.